FORESIGHT Frequent Observation-driven Realistic Evaluation and Simulation of Interacting Geophysical Hazard Triggers

The overarching scientific objective of FORESIGHT is to understand the mechanically coupled, interrelated processes leading to the hazardous activity associated with earthquakes, volcanoes, landslides and tsunamis. To assess, mitigate and manage the risks posed by these hazards, existing  and fresh data from multi—sensor surveillance networks and satellites has been combined within a time-dependent Geographic Information System (GIS)

To harmonize data and methodologies for understanding geophysical processes across Europe, FORESIGHT focused on four natural laboratories: Iceland, Azores, Alps and Turkey and emphasized the mechanical coupling temporal interactions between geophysical processes.

FORESIGHT applied the advanced methods of GIS analysis to enhance physical models for calculating, predicting and interpreting the consequences of such geophysical activity. The outputs designed to support the implementation of new European-scale risk management systems by civil defense participants in the project.

To achieve these goals, the role of Turkish natural laboratory in the FORESIGHT consortium was:

• Developed the methodologies to demonstrate the increased geophysical activity by assimilating fresh data from existing sensor

• Located areas of increased geophysical activity by mapping crustal deformation, and other indicators

• Developed exploitable models for the physical mechanism of tsunamis  underlying correlated events

• Identify the areas of increased hazard by using semi-automatic GIS tools

• Introduce the time-dependent assessments of hazard into risk management

• Disseminate the expertise and share the outputs with risk managers at the European level.

 

All activities realized on time and the results disseminated by presentations / publications / meeting. A link created between researchers and end-users in Turkey. This link keeps and feeds the new projects in our regions.

 

Duration: 11.09.2004 - 20.11.2006